Be Ready! New Patterns for Peak Shopping Days

You noticed it, right? That traditional lull in shoppers, between Thanksgiving Weekend and the 10th of December.  

That is just one of the predictable patterns within the Holiday shopping season. Next up: the surge this weekend, and then of course, next weekend, the last one before Christmas. That's when the shopping malls ask many stores to be open till midnight, right?

But, sure enough, especially this year, these "traditional" patterns are subject to another trend, the "digital disruption".
  • First, accept that the shoppers will certainly be busy doing their thing; it just may not be in your stores yet.
  • Instead, more folks will rely on the web for their window shopping, browsing, price comparisons, etc.
  • When they do show up in your stores, they are on a mission! Not browsing; just buying. 

This Year's Peak In-Store Shopping Days

So, when will in-store shopping peak? Not on the traditional last weekend before Christmas. Instead, watch for it to peak on Monday the 22nd and Tuesday the 23rd, and of course Wednesday, Christmas Eve. 

Why? Two main reasons:

  1. The "traditional" reason: those are the days when most men (and women who shop like men) actually do their buying.
  2. The "digital disruption" reason: the deadlines for buying online and having guaranteed delivery by Christmas will have passed. At that point, the customers will show up, and depend on stores to come through!
Those retailers who are anticipating these changes will be better able to effectively schedule their staff. You can likely schedule in anticipation of the Monday-Tuesday crunch.
  • And therefore, having "paced" yourself and your staff, you will be well positioned to deliver great customer service on those crucial, crunch time shopping days and evenings.
What better way to keep the Ho! Ho! Ho! in the Holiday Season?

Start Now to "Beautify" Year-End Financial Statements

For most of you, your fiscal year end (i.e., 12/31; 1/31; 2/28; etc) is rapidly approaching.

"So what?", you ask.

Well, whatever your year-end financial statement says about your business, you will have to "live with" for the next year or longer. And each vendor, bank, or landlord you share it with will judge your business by it. So, now is the time to dress it up! 

Is there a beauty parlor for retail businesses? Yes!

We just conducted two workshops at a huge trade show in Chicago. We taught those retail dealers how to financially beautify their businesses. (And some of these retailers are already making "dress up" plans.)

How Your Business Is Judged for the Next Year

Always remember: your debt-to-worth ratio is the #1 measurement of the financial strength (or weakness) of your business. So, how can that be improved? Here are 3 choices.

  1. Obviously, the more net profits that are added to your retained earnings from your P&L, the greater your equity/net worth will be.
  2. But, shrinking your liabilities (any and all debt) is the most impactful and controllable way to improve your year-end debt-to-worth ratio.
  3. "Controllable?" Yep. Shrink (sell off; liquidate) any assets you can (especially excess inventory) and apply that cash to paying down debt.

If you take these steps vigorously, there is a Miss or Mister America Pageant you can enter!! 

And best of all, this "financial beautification" is far more than skin deep. It makes for a much healthier business as well. 

The ApplePay "Wow!" Effect

 Consider these early experiences with ApplePay:
  • Both cashier and customer say "Wow!" as transaction completes.
  • Cashier explains "I haven't yet processed a return, but let's try it. Oh, it's done. That was easy!"  
  • The really telling sign: customer admits to feeling giddy(!) when paying.
Talk about a new "Wow! effect" in retailing. But for paying?!

Apple as "Enabler" of Online Retail Success

With the iPhone and iPad, Apple pioneered the user-friendly devices for accessing the web. In our view, Apple thus became the enabler for the success of Amazon and all online merchants.

Now, the ApplePay "Wow! effect" may make Apple the enabler for brick-n-mortar retailers as well. 

Seems only fair, doesn't it?

That Haunting Halloween Question (and January Payables....)

As Halloween arrives, here's a really spooky thought:
Will you have enough cash to get you through the next 3 months? 

How to answer that? With a quick cash flow calculation. No retailer should ever be without it! 

And don't worry. This does not have to be hard. A Cash Flow plan has just 3 parts:

  1. Cash coming in
  2. Cash going out
  3. The difference
And now, any retailer can know in minutes whether they will have enough cash to get through November and December and those January payables. 

  • Go to our online "Speedy Form for Cash Control." It is available free at our microsite. 
  • Then, fill it in for the next few months. It's like shining a light on that (Halloween) monster in the closet!

Then, one of two things will happen:

  1. You'll discover that you will be "cash flow positive"! Sweet! You can sleep at night!
  2. Or - gulp! - you will see that you will have a cash shortfall. But, better to know in advance, isn't it?! 

In either event, you still have time to make some adjustments.

Yes, You Have Choices

  • As you start filling in our Online Speedy Cash Flow form, you will see that you can put in numbers for up to 6 months
  • Or, choose to focus on a shorter time frame.
  • Or, disregard the column labels and have each column represent a week.
  • Or, you could choose to do it with The ROI's 3-in-1 INTEGRATED Cash Flow Calculator.  The choice is yours.

Depend on The Retail Owners Institute

Whenever you are haunted by cash flow questions, depend on The ROI. 

Nowhere else can retailers so easily look ahead, and "Turn on your financial headlights!" 

Time for Your "Inner Merchant" to Shine

As we have taught for years, anyone selling something to the ultimate consumer is a "retailer." 

However, only a small portion of these retailers are truly "merchants".

And now is the time the merchants can shine!

While we certainly are not economists (among other things), we are sensing that consumer confidence is generally stronger now than it has been in many Holiday seasons. 

And merchants recognize there is an opportunity to benefit greatly from a few carefully-selected additional markups this Holiday Season, and perhaps into the first quarter of 2015 as well. 

Don't by shy! If you have discovered unique merchandise and brought it in, do not undervalue your discerning choices!

  • Identify that unique, non-commodity merchandise you have. (Perhaps 5%-10% of the total.)
  • If you haven't already, take a markup that is bit higher on those carefully-selected items.
What's the worst that can happen? It ends up being marked down in 7 weeks?! Hmmm.

  • During that time, those 5–10 days before Christmas, all true merchants will be "dumping" (that's understood, right?) merchandise they do not want come December 26. 
  • So what if you still have some of this specialized merchandise at that time; you still are likely to generate some revenue from it.

But, between now and then, get that extra markup wherever you can! This is not the time to leave money on the table.

The merchants of the world assure you: this is not being greedy. It is being strategic

You know, like a merchant!!

Who REALLY Has First Dibs on Your Customer's Wallet?

Quick: Who are your major competitors? Amazon? Target? Wal-Mart? Other specialty store retailers in your market? 

Yes, all those and more.

But, what about the "stealth competitors" affecting every retailer – whether you are selling apparel, furniture, motorcycles, books, smart phones, or whatever?

These competitors are hiding in plain sight. And, in our view, they significantly impact – and reduce – retail sales.

What are they? The monthly recurring charges that support our digital lifestyle.

Just think about it:

  • There are the monthly cell phone data plans, for every member of the household. (Yes, even the grade schoolers. And, maybe even Grandma & Grandpa.)
  • Then, the monthly cable TV charges.
  • Plus, the monthly charges for high speed internet access in your home.
  • Of course, there are the monthly charges for "streaming" online entertainment services, such as Netflix, Amazon, now Wal-Mart, and others.
  • And, monthly online access to newspapers, magazines, etcetera
We call these kinds of monthly expenses "the enablers" of our digital lifestyles. And for retailers, each one represents a major "stealth competitor."
For many households, these monthly charges can add up to hundreds of dollars! And today, essentially no one can avoid them; they are treated like another "utility" charge. Is it any wonder consumers feel like they have less "spending money"?

The High Cost of Connectivity: Erosion of Retail Spending

All of this connectivity comes at a cost to retailers. Money that is being dedicated to these monthly enabling charges is not available to be spent "at retail."
  • Traditional "disposable income" is significantly eroded. And that happens every month, essentially out of sight. And to almost every household. 
  • Overall retail sales, by definition, are reduced. That is, "retail spending" tracks sales of merchandise, not services.
Enabling Our Digital Lives
So, given the stealth competition of enabling our digital life, can Holiday retail sales meet the predictions of some prognosticators to be up 4%-5% over last year? If so, that would represent quite a feat.

Or, more likely, consumer spending will be up, but... spending on what?!

Amazon's "Store" In New York City – Our Contrarian View

Not a Store, But a Brilliant Service Center

There has been a bit of a buzz about Amazon's plans to open a "store" in New York City, on 34th Street. This storefront will enable customers to pick up their Amazon purchases, versus having them shipped; to return merchandise; and, likely, to see and purchase Amazon products such as the Kindle Fire, etc.

  • We imagine that Amazon will have a real "Wow!" effect available at this location. Perhaps digital displays of their television programming? Showcasing of their products. Demonstrations of how to use their various shopping apps. And no doubt, a special line/faster service for their Amazon Prime customers.

Some pundits claim Amazon is trying to emulate Apple; others compare it to e-commerce specialists like Warby Parker opening brick-n-mortar locations. 

But our comments, when contacted by the American Business Journals, revealed a far different perspective. In our view, what Amazon is opening, on 34th Street, is a service center, NOT a "store."

  • That location is at the confluence of virtually all of the transit choices in NYC: Penn State, Grand Central Station, major subway stops, and of course, taxis. Perfect for commuters to pick up their items on the way to their train.
  • If Amazon really wanted to "do retail", it would have selected a retail location: SoHo, or Madison Avenue north of 57th; etc.
  • By offering this service, Amazon is able to promote "same day delivery" without having a fleet of delivery trucks entangled in NYC traffic. (NY traffic cops and – cabbies – will be delighted with that news!)

Maybe a Defensive Move?

Here's another thought: this could be viewed as a defensive move by Amazon, in response to other retailers' in-store pick up programs. (Also known as "click-n-pick", where the customer orders online, and picks up from the store.) 

As always in retailing, this will be fun to watch!

With That Inventory...What Could/Should/Would Your Sales Be?

The Retail Owners Institute® has just added another online "gadget" that is kind of fun. Quick and easy to use, of course.

  1. You enter your inventory on hand (@ cost);
  2. You choose which retail segment you are in;
  3. It immediately shows you the annual sales of the "median-performing retailer" in your segment
Here's an example for an owner of a women's boutique.
Index of Sales Potential Calculator

"Your Mileage May Vary"

Of course, this only means something when you compare the sales volume in your segment to your own sales results. Are your sales usually better than that? Or not?

And, if your sales from that level of inventory are significantly lower, does that mean that you should make changes?

Remember, there is no one "right answer". If there are differences, you get to decide what, if anything, you want to do about it. 
  • If you want to concentrate on growing sales, you have a target for the increase.
  • Or, if you elect to raise turns to reduce inventory on hand, you have perspective on what is reasonable for your retail segment.
  • And, of course, you have 12 month's time to realize the effects of any changes.
Every retailer will have different answers, depending on their particular stores and situation. 

That is the whole point! 

This is another free, time-saving tool from The ROI to enable you to compare your choices, and apply your best judgment.

So have fun with it! Go here to check it out for yourself. 

"Listening" to Customers? How to Really Hear Them!

Who knows the most about your customers? Their whims, their likes and dislikes? 

Your front line sales staff!  Even in this environment of social media, online reviews, and pleas to "like us on Facebook", it's the front line staff who are listening to – and actually hearing! – the customers.

Day in and day out. In every retail operation, they are the first ones to know of problems, and, even better, to recognize opportunities.

Now, think for a moment about any large retailer. 
  • How many layers of management do you suppose are between their front line sales staff, and senior management at headquarters?
  • Contrast that with your own operation. How few layers are there between your front line sales people, and you as the owner or manager?
Therein lies your true competitive edge! But – it must be cultivated!
For example: The sales staff at one specialty boutique recognized that customers ask for products by color, not by brand. So, after much discussion among themselves, they went against the prevailing policy, and reorganized the displays by color.

They then anxiously followed the daily sales to see whether it really was a good idea.

That's the test: did it increase sales?
In that case, the front line staff took the lead, albeit with some trepidation. 

But, the owner wisely recognized the value of encouraging their involvement – after all, they were looking for ways to increase sales – and moved to formalize the approach in all of his stores. Everybody wins - especially the customers! 
  • Ask your front line staff for their input. Create an environment that routinely encourages them to pay attention, and welcomes their feedback.
  • Give your front line staff the authority to use their insights, and test changes and improvements.
  • Demonstrate a willingness to experimentas long as there is accountability!
  • Agree from the start, "How will we know whether it is working?"
And yes, keep monitoring the comments on social media. You might see a nice uptick there as well.